miner behavior is rewriting assumptions about spot-led moves

Useful frameworks survive longer than seasonal slogans.

Historically, stretches where stablecoin settlement leads without support from cross-exchange spreads invite sharper reversals.

Put beside current chatter on “US sanctions Canadian money,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

Stay close to what users and balance sheets are actually doing.

Treat cold storage trends as the constraint and weekend thin books as the amplifier, not the other way around.

Useful frameworks survive longer than seasonal slogans.

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